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RE: Extinction

On 12/5/96 Nathan Myhrvold <nathanm@MICROSOFT.com> wrote:

>I strongly doubt that the K/T extinction should be modeled as purely
>independent events, like picking marbles.   Some correlation was there.
>The interesting thing about simple probabilistic models is that you can
>gain some interesting insight and constraints on the problem.

Also, all models must be simplified because it is not possible to factor in
all the variables at the K-T as most of them are unknown. The question is
whether there is even enough information to construct a useful simplified
model for a meaningful statistical study. I doubt it.