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Re: Dinosaurs to birds--Survival Rates



In a message dated 1/24/99 3:01:03 AM EST, Philidor11@aol.com writes:

<< In a random environment such as the lottery, you'd be correct on average,
 though any single trial could vary a great deal from the average.  However,
in
 a situation in which survival depends on conditions in a small geographic
area
 I expect that other factors would be involved. >>

The actual probability of survival is just a number; it has nothing to say
about the mechanisms of survival or any other factors. All these contingencies
are already accounted for in the number. (Makes the number virtually
impossible to calculate to any kind of precision, but it can be estimated
after the fact by examining the ratio of survivors to the total original
population. Not much help, eh?)