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Re: Seven seismologists indicted for manslaughter for failing to predict earthquake
Not sure why we're discussing current earthquake prediction here. But from
what you are saying, the scientists failed to predict that a larger
earthquake would follow. Whether they failed to predict a quake or failed
to predict bigger aftershocks is too subtle a difference for Fox News, and
too subtle a difference for me, as well.
I don't know which quake you're talking about, but what comes to my mind is
why focus on the actions of seven scientists? Usually when any natural
disaster kills alot of people, there's alot of stupidity and destructive
decisionmaking to go around.
It has been common scientific wisdom until now that quakes that follow the
first quake may be almost as large as the initial quake, but they will never
be bigger. I think that the recent quake in Japan shook that idea. On a
large, deep or complex fault, you don't necessarily know what is going to
shake loose. I can imagine geological sources of quakes that could cause
initial minor shocks, but usually that sort of thing precedes a monster
volcano, not a major quake.
I have seen earthquake prediction suffer from a more criminal sort of
stupidity. For instance, the earthquake in Haiti was eminently predictable,
and predicted, but the corrupt government and Haitian business, with
humungus collusion of typical people with typical blinders on, wanted to
believe that there wouldn't be a large quake, and Haitian scientists went
along with the program. If people had been more aware they'd have been
better prepared, and construction would have been built to withstand a
quake, atleast those who weren't basically living in tin shacks like most of
hte people in Haiti before the quake. I only wish that prosecuting that
sort of thing could induce the human race to grow heads. But who is going
to prosecute when an entire country self destructs? I'm sure Haitian
officials took that into account. "After me, the deluge."
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Saturday, May 28, 2011 11:30 AM
Subject: R: Seven seismologists indicted for manslaughter for failing to
The Foxnews journalist did not understand. Those scientists were charged
because after the first minor shocks they affirmed officially and on
television that there was no danger for the people; after that 'wise'
suggestion, a main shock willed more than 300 persons. Nothing about
earthquake prediction, just stupidity.
Data: 28-mag-2011 16.31
A: "DML"<>, "vrtpaleo"<VRTPALEO@usc.edu>
Ogg: Seven seismologists indicted for manslaughter for failing to predict
Given this legal story.....